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Anderlecht vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 18:53 UTC · 12 NovAND 67%Draw 21%OHL 12%
Expected goals · AND 2.0 · OHL 0.7 · 2.7 total
AND's attack (1.12x the league average) against OHL's defence (1.07x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 1.3.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for AND's win chance, the blue ones for OHL's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| AND goals | OHL 0 | OHL 1 | OHL 2 | OHL 3 | OHL 4 | OHL 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AND 0 | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| AND 1 | 12% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| AND 2 | 13% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| AND 3 | 9% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| AND 4 | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| AND 5 | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
AND 66.8% · Draw 21.2% · OHL 12.0%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (1.7%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Anderlecht are strong favourites at 67% — expected goals of 1.9 vs 0.7 reflect the gap.
THE ANGLE
Oud-Heverlee Leuven concede 1.5 per game on the model's weighted record, and Anderlecht's most likely scoreline is 2-0 at 13%.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
AND
4-4-2Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Anderlecht
Suspended · Could return, due 22 Nov
Broken Leg · Expected back 10 Jan
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.576%
OVER 2.552%
OVER 3.529%
BTTS45%
AND CLEAN SHEET48%
OHL CLEAN SHEET13%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
AND
OHL
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
AND
UNBEATEN
2
games without defeatSCORING
2
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 4LAST 5
10
points · W3 D1 L1OHL
UNBEATEN
5
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
11
points · W3 D2 L0VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.42SCORED · PER 90
AND
1.30
LEAGUE1.42
OHL
1.13
AND scores +0.17 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
AND
1.13
LEAGUE1.42
OHL
1.48
AND concedes 0.35 fewer per 90