Cookies: one sign-in cookie. Analytics only if you accept. Cookie policy
Waasland-Beveren vs KAA Gent
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 09:52 UTC · 12 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
WAA 27%Draw 29%KGE 44%
Expected goals · WAA 1.0 · KGE 1.3 · 2.3 total
KGE's attack (1.10x the league average) against WAA's defence (1.00x, about the league average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.3.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for WAA's win chance, the blue ones for KGE's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| WAA goals | KGE 0 | KGE 1 | KGE 2 | KGE 3 | KGE 4 | KGE 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAA 0 | 10% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| WAA 1 | 9% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| WAA 2 | 5% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| WAA 3 | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| WAA 4 | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| WAA 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
WAA 26.8% · Draw 29.1% · KGE 44.1%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.3%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
KAA Gent have the edge at 44% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
KAA Gent are favoured but the draw at 29% is too high to ignore — this doesn't feel like a walkover.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
WAA
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
KAA Gent
Cruciate Ligament Injury · Expected back 10 Jun
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.568%
OVER 2.541%
OVER 3.521%
BTTS47%
WAA CLEAN SHEET26%
KGE CLEAN SHEET37%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
WAA
KGE
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
WAA
LOSING RUN
2
Lost 0–3 to Standard Liege last outGOAL DROUGHT
1
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
1
points · W0 D1 L4KGE
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
12
points · W4 D0 L1VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.42SCORED · PER 90
WAA
1.20
LEAGUE1.42
KGE
1.81
KGE scores +0.61 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
WAA
2.14
LEAGUE1.42
KGE
0.55
KGE concedes 1.59 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
WAA
15th
On 10 points.
KGE
3rd
On 28 points.
KGE sit 12 places higher in the table