Nohim Chibani
On for Nikki Havenaar
45'
| Minute | Side | Scorer | Score after |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76' | home | Ross Sykes | 1-0 |
Win probability from OneTouch's in-running model (CC-LIVE-1.2+prior): score and clock only, from our pre-match call. Not xG.
Forecast Verdict
Top pick correctWe said
Model at kick-off: USG 64% · Draw 21% · RGE 16%
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v2.0
Union St.-Gilloise won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 63%. Union St.-Gilloise had more shots (23–10) and more on target (4–0).
Pre-match call frozen 8 Nov 2026 · model dc-v2.0
Tactical shift
Nohim Chibani
On for Nikki Havenaar
45'
Jeppe Erenbjerg
On for Aaron Bibout
57'
Relebohile Mofokeng
On for Kevin Rodríguez
60'
Massiré Sylla
Booked
63'
Yaimar Medina
On for Joris Kayembe
71'
Ross Sykes
76'
1–0
Darius Olaru
On for Besfort Zeneli
80'
Junya Ito
On for Christiaan Ravych
83'
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
On for Benjamin Tahirovic
84'
33 shots
Expected goals over time
accuracy · 17%
kill rate · 4%
accuracy · 0%
kill rate · 0%
Union St.-Gilloise turned 4% of shots into goals to Racing Genk's 0%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG
Head to Head
League Standing
Belgian Pro LeagueKey context
Venue
Stade Joseph Marien
Kick-off
8 Nov · 17:30 UTC
Referee
Bram Van Driessche
Belgium · 4.0 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.