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West Bromwich Albion vs Bristol City
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 15:57 UTC · 15 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
WBA 43%Draw 27%BRC 31%
Expected goals · WBA 1.5 · BRC 1.2 · 2.7 total
WBA's attack (1.01x the league average) against BRC's defence (1.00x, about the league average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.3.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for WBA's win chance, the blue ones for BRC's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| WBA goals | BRC 0 | BRC 1 | BRC 2 | BRC 3 | BRC 4 | BRC 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WBA 0 | 7% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| WBA 1 | 9% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| WBA 2 | 7% | 9% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| WBA 3 | 4% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| WBA 4 | 1% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| WBA 5 | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
WBA 42.7% · Draw 26.7% · BRC 30.6%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.6%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
West Bromwich Albion have the edge at 43% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
BTTS at 56% suggests both attacks will find the net — 1-1 at 13% sits at the top of the scoreline distribution.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
WBA
4-4-2BRC
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
West Bromwich Albion
Muscle Injury · Could return, due 23 Nov
Groin Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Hamstring Injury · Expected back 10 Dec
Cruciate Ligament Injury
Bristol City
No absences reported.
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.577%
OVER 2.552%
OVER 3.530%
BTTS56%
WBA CLEAN SHEET29%
BRC CLEAN SHEET22%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
WBA
BRC
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
WBA
UNBEATEN
5
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
11
points · W3 D2 L0BRC
LOSING RUN
2
Lost 0–5 to Norwich last outGOAL DROUGHT
1
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 3LAST 5
4
points · W1 D1 L3VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.35SCORED · PER 90
WBA
1.27
LEAGUE1.35
BRC
1.31
Attacks level on season average
CONCEDED · PER 90
WBA
1.08
LEAGUE1.35
BRC
1.43
WBA concedes 0.35 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
WBA
5th
In the promotion play-off places on 28 points.
BRC
17th
Mid-table on 18 points.
WBA sit 12 places higher in the table
