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Lincoln City vs Wolverhampton
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 20:44 UTC · 15 NovLCN 25%Draw 24%WOL 51%
Expected goals · LCN 1.3 · WOL 1.9 · 3.2 total
WOL's attack (1.22x the league average) against LCN's defence (1.26x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.6.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for LCN's win chance, the blue ones for WOL's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| LCN goals | WOL 0 | WOL 1 | WOL 2 | WOL 3 | WOL 4 | WOL 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LCN 0 | 5% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| LCN 1 | 5% | 11% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| LCN 2 | 3% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| LCN 3 | 1% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| LCN 4 | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| LCN 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
LCN 25.1% · Draw 23.8% · WOL 51.2%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (1.4%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Wolverhampton Wanderers have the edge at 51% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Single-goal margins account for 36% of outcomes — 1-1 at 11% is the model's best guess.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
LCN
3-4-2-1WOL
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Lincoln City
Knee Injury · Could return, due 20 Nov
Muscle Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Suspended · Red card · Could return, due 15 Nov
Muscle Injury · Could return, due 25 Nov
Muscle Injury · Could return, due 25 Nov
Hamstring Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Muscle Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Calf Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Knee Injury · Expected back 10 Jan
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.583%
OVER 2.561%
OVER 3.538%
BTTS61%
LCN CLEAN SHEET15%
WOL CLEAN SHEET28%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
LCN
WOL
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
LCN
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 1–2 to QPR last outSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
4
points · W1 D1 L3WOL
UNBEATEN
5
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 2LAST 5
11
points · W3 D2 L0VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.35SCORED · PER 90
LCN
1.30
LEAGUE1.35
WOL
1.64
WOL scores +0.34 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
LCN
1.52
LEAGUE1.35
WOL
1.17
WOL concedes 0.35 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
LCN
21st
Hovering above relegation on 15 points.
WOL
4th
In the promotion play-off places on 28 points.
WOL sit 17 places higher in the table
