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Blackburn Rovers vs Charlton Athletic
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 15:10 UTC · 15 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
BLK 44%Draw 28%CHA 28%
Expected goals · BLK 1.4 · CHA 1.1 · 2.5 total
BLK's attack (0.81x, below the league average) against CHA's defence (1.17x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.3.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for BLK's win chance, the blue ones for CHA's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| BLK goals | CHA 0 | CHA 1 | CHA 2 | CHA 3 | CHA 4 | CHA 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BLK 0 | 9% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| BLK 1 | 11% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| BLK 2 | 8% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| BLK 3 | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| BLK 4 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| BLK 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
BLK 43.5% · Draw 28.0% · CHA 28.5%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.4%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Blackburn Rovers are favoured at 44% but the draw at 28% is too high to ignore.
THE ANGLE
BTTS at 51% suggests both attacks will find the net — 1-1 at 13% sits at the top of the scoreline distribution.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
BLK
4-2-3-1CHA
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Blackburn Rovers
Muscle Injury · Could return, due 19 Nov
Thigh Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Muscle Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Charlton Athletic
Muscle Injury · Could return, due 15 Nov
Cruciate Ligament Injury
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.572%
OVER 2.546%
OVER 3.524%
BTTS51%
BLK CLEAN SHEET33%
CHA CLEAN SHEET24%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
BLK
CHA
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
BLK
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
2
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 3LAST 5
6
points · W2 D0 L3CHA
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
3
points · W1 D0 L4VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.35SCORED · PER 90
BLK
1.12
LEAGUE1.35
CHA
1.22
CHA scores +0.10 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
BLK
1.35
LEAGUE1.35
CHA
1.40
Defences level on season average
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
BLK
13th
Mid-table on 21 points.
CHA
19th
Hovering above relegation on 17 points.
BLK sit 6 places higher in the table
