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Charlton Athletic vs Lincoln City
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 15:08 UTC · 13 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
CHA 40%Draw 31%LCN 29%
Expected goals · CHA 1.2 · LCN 1.0 · 2.2 total
CHA's attack (0.85x, below the league average) against LCN's defence (0.95x, tighter than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.2.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for CHA's win chance, the blue ones for LCN's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| CHA goals | LCN 0 | LCN 1 | LCN 2 | LCN 3 | LCN 4 | LCN 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHA 0 | 12% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| CHA 1 | 13% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| CHA 2 | 8% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| CHA 3 | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| CHA 4 | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| CHA 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
CHA 40.2% · Draw 30.5% · LCN 29.3%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.2%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Charlton Athletic are favoured at 40% but the draw at 31% is too high to ignore.
THE ANGLE
BTTS at 45% suggests both attacks will find the net — 1-1 at 14% sits at the top of the scoreline distribution.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
CHA
4-2-3-1LCN
3-4-2-1Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Charlton Athletic
Muscle Injury · Could return, due 15 Nov
Cruciate Ligament Injury
Lincoln City
Knee Injury · Could return, due 20 Nov
Muscle Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.565%
OVER 2.538%
OVER 3.518%
BTTS45%
CHA CLEAN SHEET37%
LCN CLEAN SHEET30%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
CHA
LCN
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
CHA
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
3
points · W1 D0 L4LCN
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 1–2 to QPR last outSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
4
points · W1 D1 L3VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.35SCORED · PER 90
CHA
1.22
LEAGUE1.35
LCN
1.30
LCN scores +0.08 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
CHA
1.40
LEAGUE1.35
LCN
1.52
CHA concedes 0.12 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
CHA
19th
Hovering above relegation on 17 points.
LCN
21st
Hovering above relegation on 15 points.
CHA sit 2 places higher in the table
