| Minute | Side | Scorer | Score after |
|---|
Win probability from OneTouch's in-running model (CC-LIVE-1.2+prior): score and clock only, from our pre-match call. Not xG.
Forecast Verdict
Top pick missedWe said
Model at kick-off: WAT 20% · Draw 23% · MID 58%
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v2.0
It finished level; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 26%. Middlesbrough had more shots (18–8) and more on target (4–1).
Pre-match call frozen 7 Nov 2026 · model dc-v2.0
Omar-Haktab Traoré
On for Krépin Diatta
14'
Callum Brittain
Booked
21'
Sam Byram
Booked
43'
Max Arfsten
On for Amario Cozier-Duberry
45'
Sebastian Berhalter
Booked
59'
Myles Peart-Harris
On for Sebastian Berhalter
66'
Omar-Haktab Traoré
Booked
71'
Marc Bola
On for Jordan Zemura
73'
Tommy Conway
On for Sam Byram
76'
Leo Castledine
On for Jeremy Sarmiento
86'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
26 shots
Expected goals over time
accuracy · 13%
kill rate · 0%
accuracy · 22%
kill rate · 0%
Watford and Middlesbrough each turned 0% of their shots into goals.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG
Head to Head
Last 2 meetings1
Home
0.5 goals / game
0
Away
1
Draw
League Standing
ChampionshipKey context
Venue
Vicarage Road
Kick-off
7 Nov · 15:00 UTC
Referee
Gavin Ward
England · 3.3 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
