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PSV Eindhoven vs Go Ahead Eagles
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 15:51 UTC · 15 NovPSV 82%Draw 11%GAE 8%
Expected goals · PSV 3.5 · GAE 1.1 · 4.6 total
PSV's attack (1.87x the league average) against GAE's defence (1.12x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 2.4.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for PSV's win chance, the blue ones for GAE's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| PSV goals | GAE 0 | GAE 1 | GAE 2 | GAE 3 | GAE 4 | GAE 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSV 0 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| PSV 1 | 3% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| PSV 2 | 6% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| PSV 3 | 7% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| PSV 4 | 6% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| PSV 5 | 4% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
PSV 81.6% · Draw 10.9% · GAE 7.5%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (14.5%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
PSV Eindhoven should control this — 82% win probability and 3.1 goals per game say the edge is clear.
THE ANGLE
Expected goals of 3.6 vs 1.1 leaves little room for Go Ahead Eagles to force this open.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
PSV
4-2-3-1GAE
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
PSV Eindhoven
Muscle Injury · Could return, due 20 Nov
Unknown · Expected back 10 Jan
ACL Knee Injury · Expected back 24 May
Unknown
Go Ahead Eagles
Knee Injury · Expected back 10 Jan
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.595%
OVER 2.585%
OVER 3.569%
BTTS66%
PSV CLEAN SHEET32%
GAE CLEAN SHEET3%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
PSV
GAE
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
PSV
UNBEATEN
3
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last matchLAST 5
10
points · W3 D1 L1GAE
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
7
points · W2 D1 L2VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.55SCORED · PER 90
PSV
3.11
LEAGUE1.55
GAE
1.69
PSV scores +1.42 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
PSV
1.26
LEAGUE1.55
GAE
1.76
PSV concedes 0.50 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
PSV
1st
Leading the table on 26 points.
GAE
8th
On 17 points.
PSV sit 7 places higher in the table
