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ADO Den Haag vs FC Utrecht
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 22:49 UTC · 15 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
ADO 37%Draw 24%UTR 40%
Expected goals · ADO 1.7 · UTR 1.8 · 3.5 total
Expected goals are close (1.7 vs 1.8) — the model reads this as an evenly matched attack-defence balance.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for ADO's win chance, the blue ones for UTR's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| ADO goals | UTR 0 | UTR 1 | UTR 2 | UTR 3 | UTR 4 | UTR 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADO 0 | 4% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| ADO 1 | 5% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| ADO 2 | 5% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| ADO 3 | 3% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| ADO 4 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| ADO 5 | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
ADO 36.8% · Draw 23.5% · UTR 39.7%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (1.7%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
This looks level with over 2.5 goals at 67% — open but no clear winner.
THE ANGLE
ADO Den Haag score 1.1/game at home, FC Utrecht score 1.6/game away — the sides are matched closely.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
ADO
4-4-2Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
ADO Den Haag
Unknown · Expected back 30 Nov
FC Utrecht
ACL Knee Injury · Could return, due 22 Nov
Cruciate Ligament Injury · Expected back 10 Jan
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.587%
OVER 2.567%
OVER 3.545%
BTTS68%
ADO CLEAN SHEET17%
UTR CLEAN SHEET18%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
ADO
UTR
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
ADO
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
7
points · W2 D1 L2UTR
LOSING RUN
2
Lost 2–3 to NEC Nijmegen last outSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
7
points · W2 D1 L2VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.55SCORED · PER 90
ADO
1.15
LEAGUE1.55
UTR
1.64
UTR scores +0.49 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
ADO
1.99
LEAGUE1.55
UTR
1.80
UTR concedes 0.19 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
ADO
17th
On 9 points.
UTR
14th
On 12 points.
UTR sit 3 places higher in the table
