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Telstar vs PEC Zwolle
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 20:25 UTC · 8 NovTEL 53%Draw 21%PEC 26%
Expected goals · TEL 2.2 · PEC 1.5 · 3.7 total
TEL's attack (1.10x the league average) against PEC's defence (1.18x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.7.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for TEL's win chance, the blue ones for PEC's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| TEL goals | PEC 0 | PEC 1 | PEC 2 | PEC 3 | PEC 4 | PEC 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEL 0 | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| TEL 1 | 5% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| TEL 2 | 6% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| TEL 3 | 4% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| TEL 4 | 2% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| TEL 5 | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
TEL 52.9% · Draw 21.2% · PEC 26.0%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (3.1%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
Second model
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Telstar have the edge at 53% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Expected goals of 2.2 vs 1.5 gives Telstar the edge but leaves room for PEC Zwolle to stay in it.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
TEL
3-4-2-1PEC
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
PEC Zwolle
Unknown · Expected back 30 Nov
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.590%
OVER 2.573%
OVER 3.552%
BTTS71%
TEL CLEAN SHEET21%
PEC CLEAN SHEET11%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
TEL
PEC
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
TEL
UNBEATEN
2
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
5
points · W1 D2 L2PEC
UNBEATEN
4
games without defeatSCORING
4
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last matchLAST 5
8
points · W2 D2 L1VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.55SCORED · PER 90
TEL
1.53
LEAGUE1.55
PEC
1.24
TEL scores +0.29 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
TEL
1.78
LEAGUE1.55
PEC
1.96
TEL concedes 0.18 fewer per 90