Photo: Michiel1972, CC BY-SA 4.0| Minute | Side | Scorer | Score after |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22' | home | Juho Kilo | 1-0 |
| 50' | away | Bas Kuipers | 1-1 |
| 57' | home | Nigel Thomas | 2-1 |
| 79' | home | Daryl van Mieghem | 3-1 |
Win probability from OneTouch's in-running model (CC-LIVE-1.2+prior): score and clock only, from our pre-match call. Not xG.
Forecast Verdict
Top pick missedWe said
Model at kick-off: ADO 34% · Draw 23% · SPA 43%
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v2.0
ADO Den Haag won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 33%. Sparta Rotterdam had more shots (16–13) but fewer on target (6–7).
Pre-match call frozen 7 Nov 2026 · model dc-v2.0
Tactical shift
Lasse Wilhelm
On for Pascal Mulder
20'
Juho Kilo
Assist · Jalen Hawkins
22'
1–0
Bas Kuipers
Assist · Milan Zonneveld
50'
1–1
Matteo Waem
Booked
52'
Robin Van Cruijsen
On for Shunsuke Mito
56'
Nigel Thomas
57'
2–1
Jesse Bal
On for Nigel Thomas
66'
Andrej Kostic
On for Mitchell van Bergen
69'
Cameron Peupion
On for Jalen Hawkins
70'
Jonas Jensen-Abbew
On for Illaijh De Ruijter
71'
Filip Bednarek
On for Michael Brouwer
78'
Daryl van Mieghem
Assist · Cameron Peupion
79'
3–1
Jens Toornstra
On for Bruno Martins Indi
86'
Sekou Sylla
On for Milan Hokke
87'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
ADO Manager
Match DNA
Transition Warfare
The match swung on turnovers. Moments of transition were the only moments that mattered.
29 shots
Expected goals over time
accuracy · 54%
kill rate · 23%
accuracy · 38%
kill rate · 6%
ADO Den Haag turned 23% of shots into goals to Sparta Rotterdam's 6%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG
Head to Head
League Standing
EredivisieKey context
Venue
ADO Den Haag Stadium
Kick-off
7 Nov · 17:45 UTC
Referee
Alex Bos
Netherlands · 2.9 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
