Mohamed Ihattaren
15'
1–0
| Minute | Side | Scorer | Score after |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15' | home | Mohamed Ihattaren | 1-0 |
| 43' | home | Sem Valk | 2-0 |
| 45' | away | Abdelnour Soualhia | 2-1 |
| 45'+2' | away | Patrick Brouwer | 2-2 |
Win probability from OneTouch's in-running model (CC-LIVE-1.2+prior): score and clock only, from our pre-match call. Not xG.
Forecast Verdict
Top pick missedWe said
Model at kick-off: FOR 37% · Draw 25% · TEL 38%
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v2.0
It finished level; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 28%. Telstar had more shots (14–10) and more on target (8–4).
Pre-match call frozen 7 Nov 2026 · model dc-v2.0
Mohamed Ihattaren
15'
1–0
Iván Márquez
Booked
25'
Marvin Peersman
Booked
32'
Tyrone Owusu
Booked
40'
Sem Valk
Own goal
43'
2–0
Abdelnour Soualhia
Assist · Patrick Brouwer
45'
2–1
Patrick Brouwer
47'
2–2
Emirhan Demircan
On for Patrick Brouwer
66'
Sven Simons
On for Iván Márquez
66'
Isaiah Ahmed
Booked
72'
Sven Simons
Booked
73'
Yassin Oukili
On for Kristoffer Peterson
73'
Jelani Seedorf
On for Nökkvi Thórisson
81'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Transition Warfare
The match swung on turnovers. Moments of transition were the only moments that mattered.
25 shots
xG for this match is modelled rather than measured, so per-shot and total xG figures are withheld. Positions and outcomes are as recorded.
accuracy · 40%
kill rate · 20%
accuracy · 57%
kill rate · 14%
Fortuna Sittard turned 20% of shots into goals to Telstar's 14%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG
Head to Head
League Standing
EredivisieKey context
Venue
Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Kick-off
7 Nov · 15:30 UTC
Referee
Dennis Higler
Netherlands · 2.9 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.