Tolu Arokodare
Assist · Jorthy Mokio
7'
1–0
Forecast Verdict
Top pick missedWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v1.15
It finished level; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 21%. Ajax Amsterdam had more shots (18–8) and more on target (5–2).
Pre-match call frozen 10 Oct 2026 · model dc-v1.15
Tolu Arokodare
Assist · Jorthy Mokio
7'
1–0
Jorthy Mokio
Booked
17'
Tjaronn Chery
Penalty
19'
1–1
Bryan Linssen
Booked
33'
Gabi Brás
Booked
54'
Abdellah Ouazane
On for Oscar Gloukh
60'
Abdellah Ouazane
Booked
67'
Ahmetcan Kaplan
On for Perr Schuurs
72'
Mitchel Bakker
On for Bryan Linssen
73'
Marcos Leonardo
On for Tolu Arokodare
73'
Davy Klaassen
On for Owen Wijndal
80'
Jamiro Monteiro
On for Kevin Kers
82'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Midfield Domination
Control of central areas dictated everything. The midfield battle was the match.
26 shots
Expected goals over time
1.79 – 1.05
accuracy · 28%
kill rate · 6%
accuracy · 25%
kill rate · 13%
NEC Nijmegen turned 13% of shots into goals to Ajax Amsterdam's 6%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG
Head to Head
League Standing
EredivisieKey context
Venue
Johan Cruijff Arena
Kick-off
10 Oct · 19:00 UTC
Referee
Serdar Gozubuyuk
Netherlands · 3.9 yellows/match