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Lyon vs Lillestrom
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 01:57 UTC · 13 NovOL 54%Draw 24%LSK 22%
Expected goals · OL 2.0 · LSK 1.2 · 3.2 total
OL's attack (1.17x the league average) against LSK's defence (1.12x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.8.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for OL's win chance, the blue ones for LSK's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| OL goals | LSK 0 | LSK 1 | LSK 2 | LSK 3 | LSK 4 | LSK 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OL 0 | 5% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| OL 1 | 7% | 11% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| OL 2 | 8% | 9% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| OL 3 | 6% | 6% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| OL 4 | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| OL 5 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
OL 53.8% · Draw 24.3% · LSK 21.9%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (1.9%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0+cup
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Lyon have the edge at 54% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Lyon's home advantage is the separator — they score 1.8/game there, Lillestrom concede 2.6/game on the road.
THE CAVEAT
Cup dynamics in the Europa League — rotation and giant-killing patterns sit outside the model's league-form data.
CUPEuropa League
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
OL
4-3-3LSK
4-1-4-1Frederik Elkær · Ruben Gabrielsen · Sander Moen Foss · Sturla Ottesen · Yaw Paintsil
Ylldren Ibrahimaj · Felix Vá · Filip Ottosson · Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim
Bench · 12
Kristiansen, Bassi, Gulbrandsen, Kitolano, Nordh, Melland +6
Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Lyon
Leg Injury · Could return, due 20 Nov
Groin Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Meniscus Injury · Expected back 10 Jan
Cruciate Ligament Injury · Expected back 30 Jun
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.583%
OVER 2.559%
OVER 3.539%
BTTS57%
OL CLEAN SHEET31%
LSK CLEAN SHEET14%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
OL
LSK
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
OL
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 4LAST 5
7
points · W2 D1 L1LSK
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 0–1 last outGOAL DROUGHT
2
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 3LAST 5
1
points · W0 D1 L2VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.40SCORED · PER 90
OL
1.83
LEAGUE1.40
LSK
0.33
OL scores +1.50 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
OL
1.38
LEAGUE1.40
LSK
2.65
OL concedes 1.27 fewer per 90
