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Viktoria Plzen vs Benfica
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 11:41 UTC · 13 NovPLZ 19%Draw 24%SLB 57%
Expected goals · PLZ 1.0 · SLB 2.0 · 3.0 total
SLB's attack (1.49x the league average) against PLZ's defence (1.17x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 1.0.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for PLZ's win chance, the blue ones for SLB's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| PLZ goals | SLB 0 | SLB 1 | SLB 2 | SLB 3 | SLB 4 | SLB 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PLZ 0 | 6% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| PLZ 1 | 5% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| PLZ 2 | 3% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| PLZ 3 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| PLZ 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| PLZ 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
PLZ 19.4% · Draw 23.9% · SLB 56.8%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (1.8%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0+cup
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Benfica should control this — 57% win probability and 3.3 goals per game say the edge is clear.
THE ANGLE
Expected goals of 0.9 vs 2.1 leaves little room for Viktoria Plzen to force this open.
THE CAVEAT
Cup dynamics in the Europa League — rotation and giant-killing patterns sit outside the model's league-form data.
CUPEuropa League
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
PLZ
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Viktoria Plzen
Knee Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Benfica
Suspended · Could return, due 17 Nov
Cruciate Ligament Injury · Expected back 10 Jul
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.581%
OVER 2.557%
OVER 3.536%
BTTS53%
PLZ CLEAN SHEET15%
SLB CLEAN SHEET36%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
PLZ
SLB
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
PLZ
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
3
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
3
points · W1 D0 L3SLB
UNBEATEN
4
games without defeatSCORING
4
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 3LAST 5
12
points · W4 D0 L0VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.40SCORED · PER 90
PLZ
1.07
LEAGUE1.40
SLB
3.27
SLB scores +2.20 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
PLZ
1.20
LEAGUE1.40
SLB
0.77
SLB concedes 0.43 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
PLZ
30th
On 3 points.
SLB
1st
Leading the table on 12 points.
SLB sit 29 places higher in the table
