Cookies: one sign-in cookie. Analytics only if you accept. Cookie policy
Olympiacos vs AC Milan
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 03:07 UTC · 14 NovOLY 52%Draw 26%MIL 22%
Expected goals · OLY 1.8 · MIL 1.1 · 2.9 total
OLY's attack (1.11x the league average) against MIL's defence (1.08x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.7.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for OLY's win chance, the blue ones for MIL's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| OLY goals | MIL 0 | MIL 1 | MIL 2 | MIL 3 | MIL 4 | MIL 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OLY 0 | 6% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| OLY 1 | 9% | 12% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| OLY 2 | 9% | 9% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| OLY 3 | 6% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| OLY 4 | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| OLY 5 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
OLY 52.0% · Draw 25.5% · MIL 22.5%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (1.3%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0+cup
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Olympiacos have the edge at 52% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
BTTS at 54% suggests both attacks will find the net — 1-1 at 12% sits at the top of the scoreline distribution.
THE CAVEAT
Cup dynamics in the Europa League — rotation and giant-killing patterns sit outside the model's league-form data.
CUPEuropa League
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
OLY
4-2-3-1MIL
3-4-2-1Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Olympiacos
Physical Discomfort · Could return, due 23 Nov
Broken Cheekbone
AC Milan
Knee Injury · Could return, due 18 Nov
Muscle Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Thigh Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Tendon Injury · Expected back 10 Jan
Thigh Injury · Expected back 20 Jan
Ankle Injury · Expected back 20 Jan
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.579%
OVER 2.555%
OVER 3.534%
BTTS54%
OLY CLEAN SHEET33%
MIL CLEAN SHEET17%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
OLY
MIL
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
OLY
UNBEATEN
4
games without defeatGOAL DROUGHT
1
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
3
games without concedingLAST 5
10
points · W3 D1 L0MIL
LOSING RUN
2
Lost 0–2 to Ferencvarosi TC last outGOAL DROUGHT
2
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 2LAST 5
3
points · W1 D0 L3VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.40SCORED · PER 90
OLY
1.09
LEAGUE1.40
MIL
1.14
Attacks level on season average
CONCEDED · PER 90
OLY
0.41
LEAGUE1.40
MIL
1.74
OLY concedes 1.33 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
OLY
6th
On 10 points.
MIL
28th
On 3 points.
OLY sit 22 places higher in the table