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Vissel Kobe vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 17:12 UTC · 15 NovVIS 59%Draw 22%JEF 19%
Expected goals · VIS 2.0 · JEF 1.1 · 3.1 total
VIS's attack (1.11x the league average) against JEF's defence (1.16x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.9.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for VIS's win chance, the blue ones for JEF's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| VIS goals | JEF 0 | JEF 1 | JEF 2 | JEF 3 | JEF 4 | JEF 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VIS 0 | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| VIS 1 | 9% | 11% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| VIS 2 | 9% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| VIS 3 | 6% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| VIS 4 | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| VIS 5 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
VIS 58.6% · Draw 22.5% · JEF 18.9%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (1.7%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Vissel Kobe at 59% — JEF United Ichihara-Chiba concede 1.6 per game, and the model sees that.
THE ANGLE
Vissel Kobe are averaging 1.7 per game at home — the gap in quality shows in the numbers.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
VIS
4-3-3JEF
4-4-2Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.582%
OVER 2.559%
OVER 3.537%
BTTS57%
VIS CLEAN SHEET35%
JEF CLEAN SHEET13%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
VIS
JEF
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
VIS
UNBEATEN
3
games without defeatSCORING
2
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 2LAST 5
8
points · W2 D2 L1JEF
UNBEATEN
3
games without defeatSCORING
4
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
2
games without concedingLAST 5
8
points · W2 D2 L1VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.40SCORED · PER 90
VIS
1.66
LEAGUE1.40
JEF
1.18
VIS scores +0.48 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
VIS
1.03
LEAGUE1.40
JEF
1.63
VIS concedes 0.60 fewer per 90
