Cookies: one sign-in cookie. Analytics only if you accept. Cookie policy
Yokohama F. Marinos vs FC Tokyo
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 16:02 UTC · 15 NovYOK 21%Draw 23%TOK 57%
Expected goals · YOK 1.1 · TOK 2.0 · 3.1 total
TOK's attack (1.61x the league average) against YOK's defence (1.00x, about the league average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.9.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for YOK's win chance, the blue ones for TOK's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| YOK goals | TOK 0 | TOK 1 | TOK 2 | TOK 3 | TOK 4 | TOK 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YOK 0 | 5% | 8% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| YOK 1 | 4% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| YOK 2 | 3% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| YOK 3 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| YOK 4 | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| YOK 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
YOK 20.7% · Draw 22.6% · TOK 56.7%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (1.8%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
FC Tokyo should control this — 57% win probability and 2.4 goals per game say the edge is clear.
THE ANGLE
Yokohama F. Marinos concede 1.1 per game on the model's weighted record, and FC Tokyo's most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10%.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
YOK
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.583%
OVER 2.561%
OVER 3.539%
BTTS60%
YOK CLEAN SHEET13%
TOK CLEAN SHEET32%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
YOK
TOK
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
YOK
UNBEATEN
5
games without defeatSCORING
4
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 4LAST 5
7
points · W1 D4 L0TOK
UNBEATEN
5
games without defeatSCORING
3
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
5
games without concedingLAST 5
13
points · W4 D1 L0VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.40SCORED · PER 90
YOK
1.50
LEAGUE1.40
TOK
2.40
TOK scores +0.90 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
YOK
1.06
LEAGUE1.40
TOK
0.49
TOK concedes 0.57 fewer per 90
