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Kashiwa Reysol vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
28 Nov · 07:00 UTC
Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 07:43 UTC · 15 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
KRE 37%Draw 25%SAN 38%
Expected goals · KRE 1.6 · SAN 1.6 · 3.2 total
Expected goals are close (1.6 vs 1.6) — the model reads this as an evenly matched attack-defence balance.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for KRE's win chance, the blue ones for SAN's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| KRE goals | SAN 0 | SAN 1 | SAN 2 | SAN 3 | SAN 4 | SAN 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KRE 0 | 5% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| KRE 1 | 6% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| KRE 2 | 5% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| KRE 3 | 3% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| KRE 4 | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| KRE 5 | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
KRE 37.4% · Draw 24.6% · SAN 37.9%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (1.2%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
This looks level with over 2.5 goals at 62% — open but no clear winner.
THE ANGLE
The forecast is this close because neither side has separated themselves — form lines are essentially level.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
KRE
3-4-2-1SAN
3-4-2-1Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.584%
OVER 2.562%
OVER 3.540%
BTTS64%
KRE CLEAN SHEET20%
SAN CLEAN SHEET20%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
KRE
SAN
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
KRE
UNBEATEN
4
games without defeatSCORING
3
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last matchLAST 5
10
points · W3 D1 L1SAN
UNBEATEN
3
games without defeatGOAL DROUGHT
1
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
3
games without concedingLAST 5
10
points · W3 D1 L1VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.40SCORED · PER 90
KRE
2.22
LEAGUE1.40
SAN
2.26
Attacks level on season average
CONCEDED · PER 90
KRE
1.42
LEAGUE1.40
SAN
0.71
SAN concedes 0.71 fewer per 90
