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Avispa Fukuoka vs Yokohama F. Marinos
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 02:54 UTC · 13 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
AVF 30%Draw 30%YOK 40%
Expected goals · AVF 1.0 · YOK 1.3 · 2.3 total
YOK's attack (0.94x, below the league average) against AVF's defence (1.08x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.3.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for AVF's win chance, the blue ones for YOK's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| AVF goals | YOK 0 | YOK 1 | YOK 2 | YOK 3 | YOK 4 | YOK 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVF 0 | 11% | 12% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| AVF 1 | 10% | 14% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| AVF 2 | 5% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| AVF 3 | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| AVF 4 | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| AVF 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
AVF 29.8% · Draw 29.7% · YOK 40.5%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.3%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Yokohama F. Marinos have the edge at 40% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Yokohama F. Marinos are favoured but the draw at 30% is too high to ignore — this doesn't feel like a walkover.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
AVF
3-4-2-1YOK
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.568%
OVER 2.540%
OVER 3.520%
BTTS47%
AVF CLEAN SHEET28%
YOK CLEAN SHEET35%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
AVF
YOK
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
AVF
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
1
points · W0 D1 L4YOK
UNBEATEN
5
games without defeatSCORING
4
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 4LAST 5
7
points · W1 D4 L0VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.40SCORED · PER 90
AVF
0.98
LEAGUE1.40
YOK
1.50
YOK scores +0.52 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
AVF
1.82
LEAGUE1.40
YOK
1.06
YOK concedes 0.76 fewer per 90