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Kashima Antlers vs Shimizu S-Pulse
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 22:01 UTC · 7 NovKAN 69%Draw 18%SHI 12%
Expected goals · KAN 2.4 · SHI 0.9 · 3.3 total
KAN's attack (1.25x the league average) against SHI's defence (1.13x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 1.5.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for KAN's win chance, the blue ones for SHI's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| KAN goals | SHI 0 | SHI 1 | SHI 2 | SHI 3 | SHI 4 | SHI 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KAN 0 | 4% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| KAN 1 | 8% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| KAN 2 | 11% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| KAN 3 | 8% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| KAN 4 | 5% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| KAN 5 | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
KAN 69.4% · Draw 18.4% · SHI 12.2%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (3.3%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
Second model
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Kashima Antlers should control this — 69% win probability and 2.0 goals per game say the edge is clear.
THE ANGLE
Expected goals of 2.2 vs 0.9 leaves little room for Shimizu S-Pulse to force this open.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
KAN
4-4-2SHI
4-3-3Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.584%
OVER 2.564%
OVER 3.541%
BTTS55%
KAN CLEAN SHEET40%
SHI CLEAN SHEET9%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
KAN
SHI
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
KAN
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 0–2 last outGOAL DROUGHT
1
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 4LAST 5
7
points · W2 D1 L2SHI
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 0–1 last outGOAL DROUGHT
4
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
1
points · W0 D1 L4VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.40SCORED · PER 90
KAN
2.05
LEAGUE1.40
SHI
0.71
KAN scores +1.34 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
KAN
1.70
LEAGUE1.40
SHI
1.72
Defences level on season average
