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Kashima Antlers vs Fagiano Okayama
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 15:45 UTC · 15 NovKAN 56%Draw 22%OKA 22%
Expected goals · KAN 2.1 · OKA 1.2 · 3.3 total
KAN's attack (1.25x the league average) against OKA's defence (1.06x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.9.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for KAN's win chance, the blue ones for OKA's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| KAN goals | OKA 0 | OKA 1 | OKA 2 | OKA 3 | OKA 4 | OKA 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KAN 0 | 4% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| KAN 1 | 7% | 10% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| KAN 2 | 8% | 10% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| KAN 3 | 5% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| KAN 4 | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| KAN 5 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
KAN 56.3% · Draw 22.2% · OKA 21.5%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (2.1%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Kashima Antlers should control this — 56% win probability and 2.0 goals per game say the edge is clear.
THE ANGLE
Home/away split tells the story: Kashima Antlers scoring 2.0/game at home, Fagiano Okayama scoring 1.1/game on the road.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
KAN
4-4-2OKA
3-4-2-1Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.585%
OVER 2.564%
OVER 3.542%
BTTS62%
KAN CLEAN SHEET29%
OKA CLEAN SHEET13%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
KAN
OKA
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
KAN
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 0–2 last outGOAL DROUGHT
1
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 4LAST 5
7
points · W2 D1 L2OKA
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 3LAST 5
4
points · W1 D1 L3VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.40SCORED · PER 90
KAN
2.05
LEAGUE1.40
OKA
1.13
KAN scores +0.92 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
KAN
1.70
LEAGUE1.40
OKA
1.61
OKA concedes 0.09 fewer per 90
