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FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 12:52 UTC · 13 NovTOK 50%Draw 27%SAN 23%
Expected goals · TOK 1.6 · SAN 1.0 · 2.6 total
TOK's attack (1.36x the league average) against SAN's defence (0.75x, tighter than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.6.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for TOK's win chance, the blue ones for SAN's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| TOK goals | SAN 0 | SAN 1 | SAN 2 | SAN 3 | SAN 4 | SAN 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOK 0 | 8% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| TOK 1 | 11% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| TOK 2 | 10% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| TOK 3 | 5% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| TOK 4 | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| TOK 5 | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
TOK 50.4% · Draw 26.5% · SAN 23.0%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.6%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
FC Tokyo have the edge at 50% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Expected goals of 1.6 vs 1.0 gives FC Tokyo the edge but leaves room for Sanfrecce Hiroshima to stay in it.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
TOK
4-4-2SAN
3-4-2-1Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.574%
OVER 2.548%
OVER 3.526%
BTTS51%
TOK CLEAN SHEET37%
SAN CLEAN SHEET20%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
TOK
SAN
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
TOK
UNBEATEN
5
games without defeatSCORING
3
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
5
games without concedingLAST 5
13
points · W4 D1 L0SAN
UNBEATEN
3
games without defeatGOAL DROUGHT
1
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
3
games without concedingLAST 5
10
points · W3 D1 L1VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.40SCORED · PER 90
TOK
2.40
LEAGUE1.40
SAN
2.26
TOK scores +0.14 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
TOK
0.49
LEAGUE1.40
SAN
0.71
TOK concedes 0.22 fewer per 90
