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Urawa Red Diamonds vs Cerezo Osaka
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 23:23 UTC · 13 NovURA 56%Draw 21%CER 23%
Expected goals · URA 2.2 · CER 1.4 · 3.6 total
URA's attack (1.12x the league average) against CER's defence (1.27x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.8.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for URA's win chance, the blue ones for CER's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| URA goals | CER 0 | CER 1 | CER 2 | CER 3 | CER 4 | CER 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| URA 0 | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| URA 1 | 6% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| URA 2 | 7% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| URA 3 | 5% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| URA 4 | 3% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| URA 5 | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
URA 55.9% · Draw 21.2% · CER 22.9%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (2.8%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Urawa Red Diamonds should control this — 56% win probability and 1.6 goals per game say the edge is clear.
THE ANGLE
Home/away split tells the story: Urawa Red Diamonds scoring 1.6/game at home, Cerezo Osaka scoring 1.2/game on the road.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
URA
4-3-3CER
3-4-2-1Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.588%
OVER 2.570%
OVER 3.549%
BTTS67%
URA CLEAN SHEET25%
CER CLEAN SHEET11%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
URA
CER
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
URA
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 2LAST 5
10
points · W3 D1 L1CER
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
5
points · W1 D2 L2VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.40SCORED · PER 90
URA
1.62
LEAGUE1.40
CER
1.17
URA scores +0.45 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
URA
2.03
LEAGUE1.40
CER
1.83
CER concedes 0.20 fewer per 90
