Photo: Waka77, CC0 1.0| Minute | Side | Scorer | Score after |
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Win probability from OneTouch's in-running model (CC-LIVE-1.2+prior): score and clock only, from our pre-match call. Not xG.
Forecast Verdict
Top pick missedWe said
Model at kick-off: ZEL 43% · Draw 23% · SAN 34%
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v2.0
It finished level; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 26%. Sanfrecce Hiroshima had more shots (19–13) and more on target (7–4).
Pre-match call frozen 8 Nov 2026 · model dc-v2.0
Taishi Matsumoto
On for Kim Ju-Sung
45'+1'
Yotaro Nakajima
Booked
45'+5'
Thomas Ouwejan
Booked
45'+6'
Tete Yengi
On for Takuma Nishimura
59'
Shimon Kobayashi
On for Yotaro Nakajima
62'
Kusini Yengi
On for Takuma Asano
63'
Daiki Suga
On for Shun Ayukawa
71'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
32 shots
xG for this match is modelled rather than measured, so per-shot and total xG figures are withheld. Positions and outcomes are as recorded.
accuracy · 31%
kill rate · 0%
accuracy · 37%
kill rate · 0%
Machida Zelvia and Sanfrecce Hiroshima each turned 0% of their shots into goals.
Shots on Target
Attack
Head to Head
League Standing
Japanese J.LeagueKey context
Venue
Machida Gion Stadium
Kick-off
8 Nov · 05:00 UTC
Referee
Masuya Ueda
Japan · 2.7 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
