| Minute | Side | Scorer | Score after |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86' | home | Leonardo Rocha | 1-0 |
Win probability from OneTouch's in-running model (CC-LIVE-1.2+prior): score and clock only, from our pre-match call. Not xG.
Forecast Verdict
Top pick correctWe said
Model at kick-off: JEF 57% · Draw 22% · MHO 21%
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v2.0
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 58%. Mito Hollyhock had more shots (14–12) but fewer on target (0–2).
Pre-match call frozen 8 Nov 2026 · model dc-v2.0
Erison
Booked
17'
Leonardo Rocha
On for Erison
66'
Hayata Yamamoto
On for Motoki Nishihara
66'
Shota Yamashita
On for Jin Okumura
77'
Zain Issaka
On for Takumi Tsukui
79'
Koshi Osaki
Booked
83'
Patryck Ferreira
On for Ryo Nemoto
85'
Leonardo Rocha
86'
1–0
Yusuke Kobayashi
On for Takuya Yasui
90'+3'
Penalty Missed
Ken Yamura
90'+4'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Transition Warfare
The match swung on turnovers. Moments of transition were the only moments that mattered.
26 shots
xG for this match is modelled rather than measured, so per-shot and total xG figures are withheld. Positions and outcomes are as recorded.
accuracy · 17%
kill rate · 8%
accuracy · 0%
kill rate · 0%
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba turned 8% of shots into goals to Mito Hollyhock's 0%.
Shots on Target
Attack
Head to Head
League Standing
Japanese J.LeagueKey context
Venue
Fukuda Denshi Arena
Kick-off
8 Nov · 08:00 UTC
Referee
Futoshi Nakamura
Japan · 2.9 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
