Forecast Verdict
Top pick correctWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v1.15
Machida Zelvia won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 52%. Machida Zelvia had more shots (25–6) and more on target (12–2).
Pre-match call frozen 21 Oct 2026 · model dc-v1.15
Tactical shift
Yuki Honda
Booked
17'
Kai Matsuzaki
Booked
31'
Neta Lavi
35'
0–1
Koki Ogawa
50'
0–2
Kenta Inoue
On for Kei Koizumi
57'
Takuma Nishimura
62'
0–3
Kai Matsuzaki
Sent off
63'
Ryo Germain
On for Oh Se-Hun
69'
Ryohei Shirasaki
On for Neta Lavi
73'
Takuma Nishimura
77'
0–4
Yutaka Yoshida
On for Hidehiro Sugai
79'
Hokuto Shimoda
On for Hiroyuki Mae
79'
Takuma Nishimura
82'
0–5
Futa Tokumura
On for Takuma Nishimura
86'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Chaos Match
High-event, low-control. Structure broke down repeatedly — pure entertainment.
31 shots
xG for this match is modelled rather than measured, so per-shot and total xG figures are withheld. Positions and outcomes are as recorded.
accuracy · 33%
kill rate · 0%
accuracy · 48%
kill rate · 20%
Machida Zelvia turned 20% of shots into goals to Shimizu S-Pulse's 0%.
Shots on Target
Attack
Head to Head
League Standing
Japanese J.LeagueKey context
Venue
IAI Stadium Nihondaira
Kick-off
21 Oct · 10:00 UTC
Referee
Yuzo Sutani
Japan · 1.9 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
