Forecast Verdict
Top pick correctWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v1.15
Sanfrecce Hiroshima won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 69%. Sanfrecce Hiroshima had more shots (24–7) and more on target (7–2).
Pre-match call frozen 17 Oct 2026 · model dc-v1.15
Tactical shift
Kyo Sato
Booked
31'
Daiki Suga
48'
1–0
Alex Negueba
On for Ryuma Nakano
55'
Mutsuki Kato
On for Shun Ayukawa
63'
Kim Ju-Sung
On for Daiki Suga
64'
Sébastien Haller
Booked
67'
Marco Túlio
On for Takumi Kato
72'
Takuma Asano
On for Sébastien Haller
73'
Akito Suzuki
78'
2–0
Takuji Yonemoto
On for Hiroto Morooka
80'
Mutsuki Kato
82'
3–0
Takuma Kawamura
On for Akito Suzuki
86'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Midfield Domination
Control of central areas dictated everything. The midfield battle was the match.
31 shots
xG for this match is modelled rather than measured, so per-shot and total xG figures are withheld. Positions and outcomes are as recorded.
accuracy · 29%
kill rate · 13%
accuracy · 29%
kill rate · 0%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima turned 13% of shots into goals to Kyoto Sanga's 0%.
Shots on Target
Attack
Head to Head
League Standing
Japanese J.LeagueKey context
Venue
Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima
Kick-off
17 Oct · 05:00 UTC
Referee
Koei Koya
Japan · 2.5 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
