Turning point · 91'Hidehiro Sugai1–2Forecast Verdict
Top pick missedWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v1.15
Shimizu S-Pulse won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 26%. Shimizu S-Pulse had more shots (9–7) and more on target (4–2).
Pre-match call frozen 10 Oct 2026 · model dc-v1.15
Kotaro Uchino
On for Yoshiki Torikai
20'
Oh Se-Hun
Booked
24'
Kotaro Uchino
Booked
26'
Yudai Shimamoto
On for Koya Kitagawa
45'
Yu Funabashi
On for Hugo
45'
Chihiro Kato
48'
1–0
Ryo Nemoto
On for Kotaro Uchino
67'
Kosuke Kinoshita
On for Kai Matsuzaki
67'
Takumi Mase
Booked
70'
Tomoya Fujii
75'
1–1
Taiki Hirato
On for Dieguinho
84'
Hayata Yamamoto
On for Chihiro Kato
85'
Hidehiro Sugai
91'
1–2
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
16 shots
xG for this match is modelled rather than measured, so per-shot and total xG figures are withheld. Positions and outcomes are as recorded.
accuracy · 29%
kill rate · 14%
accuracy · 44%
kill rate · 22%
Shimizu S-Pulse turned 22% of shots into goals to Mito Hollyhock's 14%.
Shots on Target
Attack
Head to Head
League Standing
Japanese J.LeagueKey context
Venue
Kasamatsu Stadium
Kick-off
11 Oct · 06:00 UTC
Referee
Atsushi Uemura
Japan · 2.9 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
