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Levante vs Elche
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 11:14 UTC · 11 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
LVT 41%Draw 25%ELC 35%
Expected goals · LVT 1.7 · ELC 1.5 · 3.2 total
LVT's attack (1.14x the league average) against ELC's defence (1.03x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.2.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for LVT's win chance, the blue ones for ELC's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| LVT goals | ELC 0 | ELC 1 | ELC 2 | ELC 3 | ELC 4 | ELC 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVT 0 | 5% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| LVT 1 | 6% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% |
| LVT 2 | 6% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| LVT 3 | 3% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| LVT 4 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| LVT 5 | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
LVT 40.6% · Draw 24.7% · ELC 34.8%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (1.2%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Levante have the edge at 41% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Expected goals of 1.8 vs 1.6 gives Levante the edge but leaves room for Elche to stay in it.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
LVT
4-4-2Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.583%
OVER 2.562%
OVER 3.540%
BTTS64%
LVT CLEAN SHEET22%
ELC CLEAN SHEET19%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
LVT
ELC
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
LVT
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatGOAL DROUGHT
2
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
5
points · W1 D2 L2ELC
LOSING RUN
2
Lost 0–2 to Real Betis last outGOAL DROUGHT
2
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 2LAST 5
5
points · W1 D2 L2VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.35SCORED · PER 90
LVT
1.29
LEAGUE1.35
ELC
1.24
LVT scores +0.05 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
LVT
1.63
LEAGUE1.35
ELC
1.56
ELC concedes 0.07 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
LVT
17th
Hovering above relegation on 11 points.
ELC
18th
In the relegation zone on 10 points.
LVT sit 1 place higher in the table
