Cookies: one sign-in cookie. Analytics only if you accept. Cookie policy
Stockport County vs Leyton Orient
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 16:02 UTC · 15 NovSTO 47%Draw 26%LEY 27%
Expected goals · STO 1.6 · LEY 1.2 · 2.8 total
STO's attack (1.33x the league average) against LEY's defence (0.80x, tighter than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.4.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for STO's win chance, the blue ones for LEY's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| STO goals | LEY 0 | LEY 1 | LEY 2 | LEY 3 | LEY 4 | LEY 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STO 0 | 7% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| STO 1 | 9% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| STO 2 | 8% | 9% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| STO 3 | 4% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| STO 4 | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| STO 5 | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
STO 47.2% · Draw 26.0% · LEY 26.8%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.7%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Stockport County have the edge at 47% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Stockport County's home advantage is the separator — they score 1.8/game there, Leyton Orient concede 1.1/game on the road.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
STO
3-4-3LEY
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Stockport County
No absences reported.
Leyton Orient
No absences reported.
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.577%
OVER 2.553%
OVER 3.530%
BTTS56%
STO CLEAN SHEET31%
LEY CLEAN SHEET20%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
STO
LEY
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
STO
UNBEATEN
2
games without defeatSCORING
2
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 4LAST 5
10
points · W3 D1 L1LEY
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
2
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
7
points · W2 D1 L2VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.36SCORED · PER 90
STO
1.78
LEAGUE1.36
LEY
1.47
STO scores +0.31 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
STO
1.03
LEAGUE1.36
LEY
1.09
STO concedes 0.06 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
STO
2nd
In the automatic promotion places on 29 points.
LEY
14th
Mid-table on 17 points.
STO sit 12 places higher in the table
