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Stevenage vs Blackpool
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 14:18 UTC · 15 NovSTE 52%Draw 27%BLP 21%
Expected goals · STE 1.5 · BLP 0.9 · 2.4 total
STE's attack (0.99x, below the league average) against BLP's defence (1.02x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.6.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for STE's win chance, the blue ones for BLP's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| STE goals | BLP 0 | BLP 1 | BLP 2 | BLP 3 | BLP 4 | BLP 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STE 0 | 10% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| STE 1 | 13% | 13% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| STE 2 | 11% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| STE 3 | 5% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| STE 4 | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| STE 5 | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
STE 51.9% · Draw 27.2% · BLP 20.9%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.5%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Stevenage have the edge at 52% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Single-goal margins account for 38% of outcomes — 1-0 at 13% is the model's best guess.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
STE
4-4-1-1BLP
4-1-3-2Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.570%
OVER 2.543%
OVER 3.522%
BTTS47%
STE CLEAN SHEET41%
BLP CLEAN SHEET22%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
STE
BLP
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
STE
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 2LAST 5
7
points · W2 D1 L2BLP
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 0–1 to AFC Wimbledon last outGOAL DROUGHT
1
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 3LAST 5
4
points · W1 D1 L3VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.36SCORED · PER 90
STE
1.45
LEAGUE1.36
BLP
1.40
STE scores +0.05 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
STE
1.11
LEAGUE1.36
BLP
1.43
STE concedes 0.32 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
STE
16th
Mid-table on 16 points.
BLP
20th
Hovering above relegation on 12 points.
STE sit 4 places higher in the table