Cookies: one sign-in cookie. Analytics only if you accept. Cookie policy
Sheffield Wednesday vs Reading
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 14:01 UTC · 15 NovSHW 50%Draw 26%REA 24%
Expected goals · SHW 1.7 · REA 1.1 · 2.8 total
SHW's attack (1.23x the league average) against REA's defence (0.90x, tighter than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.6.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for SHW's win chance, the blue ones for REA's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| SHW goals | REA 0 | REA 1 | REA 2 | REA 3 | REA 4 | REA 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHW 0 | 7% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| SHW 1 | 10% | 12% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| SHW 2 | 9% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| SHW 3 | 5% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| SHW 4 | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| SHW 5 | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
SHW 50.1% · Draw 25.6% · REA 24.2%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.8%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Sheffield Wednesday edge this at 50% — expected goals of 1.7 to 1.1 give them the lean.
THE ANGLE
BTTS at 55% suggests both attacks will find the net — 1-1 at 12% sits at the top of the scoreline distribution.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
SHW
4-2-3-1REA
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Sheffield Wednesday
No absences reported.
Reading
No absences reported.
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.577%
OVER 2.552%
OVER 3.530%
BTTS55%
SHW CLEAN SHEET33%
REA CLEAN SHEET19%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
SHW
REA
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
SHW
UNBEATEN
3
games without defeatSCORING
3
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
5
points · W1 D2 L2REA
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 1–3 to Stockport County last outSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 2LAST 5
7
points · W2 D1 L2VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.36SCORED · PER 90
SHW
1.68
LEAGUE1.36
REA
1.68
Attacks level on season average
CONCEDED · PER 90
SHW
1.05
LEAGUE1.36
REA
1.21
SHW concedes 0.16 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
SHW
5th
In the promotion play-off places on 23 points.
REA
7th
Mid-table on 22 points.
SHW sit 2 places higher in the table
