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Peterborough United vs Cambridge United
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 17:11 UTC · 15 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
PET 40%Draw 28%CAM 33%
Expected goals · PET 1.4 · CAM 1.2 · 2.6 total
PET's attack (0.88x, below the league average) against CAM's defence (1.04x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.2.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for PET's win chance, the blue ones for CAM's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| PET goals | CAM 0 | CAM 1 | CAM 2 | CAM 3 | CAM 4 | CAM 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PET 0 | 8% | 8% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| PET 1 | 9% | 13% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| PET 2 | 7% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| PET 3 | 3% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| PET 4 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| PET 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
PET 39.5% · Draw 27.7% · CAM 32.8%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.5%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
This looks even — 28% draw probability with neither side above 40%.
THE ANGLE
The draw at 28% is the single most likely outcome — scoreline distribution keeps returning to 1-1.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
PET
4-2-3-1CAM
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Peterborough United
Unknown · Expected back 30 Nov
Unknown · Expected back 30 Nov
Unknown · Expected back 30 Nov
Cambridge United
No absences reported.
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.574%
OVER 2.549%
OVER 3.527%
BTTS54%
PET CLEAN SHEET29%
CAM CLEAN SHEET25%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
PET
CAM
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
PET
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 0–2 to Luton last outGOAL DROUGHT
1
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
5
points · W1 D2 L2CAM
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 0–3 to Leyton Orient last outGOAL DROUGHT
1
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
5
points · W1 D2 L2VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.36SCORED · PER 90
PET
1.09
LEAGUE1.36
CAM
1.41
CAM scores +0.32 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
PET
1.60
LEAGUE1.36
CAM
1.44
CAM concedes 0.16 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
PET
22nd
In the relegation zone on 10 points.
CAM
10th
Mid-table on 21 points.
CAM sit 12 places higher in the table
