
Cookies: one sign-in cookie. Analytics only if you accept. Cookie policy
Expected goals · DON 1.0 · HUD 1.6 · 2.6 total
HUD's attack (1.33x the league average) against DON's defence (1.03x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.6.
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for DON's win chance, the blue ones for HUD's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| DON goals | HUD 0 | HUD 1 | HUD 2 | HUD 3 | HUD 4 | HUD 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DON 0 | 8% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| DON 1 | 6% | 12% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| DON 2 | 4% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| DON 3 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| DON 4 | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| DON 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
DON 23.3% · Draw 26.0% · HUD 50.7%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.7%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Huddersfield Town have the edge at 51% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
Expected goals of 1.0 vs 1.6 gives Huddersfield Town the edge but leaves room for Doncaster Rovers to stay in it.
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
DON
4-2-3-1HUD
3-4-2-1Predicted line-up
No absences reported.
No absences reported.
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
how each side performs at their ground
HUD scores +0.46 more per 90
HUD concedes 0.49 fewer per 90
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
HUD sit 20 places higher in the table
Photo: Frees, CC BY 3.0