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Bromley vs Burton Albion
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 15:38 UTC · 15 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
BRO 40%Draw 28%BRT 32%
Expected goals · BRO 1.4 · BRT 1.2 · 2.6 total
BRO's attack (0.76x, below the league average) against BRT's defence (1.19x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.2.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for BRO's win chance, the blue ones for BRT's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| BRO goals | BRT 0 | BRT 1 | BRT 2 | BRT 3 | BRT 4 | BRT 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BRO 0 | 8% | 8% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| BRO 1 | 10% | 13% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| BRO 2 | 7% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| BRO 3 | 3% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| BRO 4 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| BRO 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
BRO 39.6% · Draw 27.9% · BRT 32.5%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.4%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Neither team separates themselves here — 40% for the slight favourite, 28% for the draw.
THE ANGLE
The draw at 28% is the single most likely outcome — scoreline distribution keeps returning to 1-1.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
BRO
4-1-4-1BRT
3-4-2-1Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.574%
OVER 2.548%
OVER 3.526%
BTTS53%
BRO CLEAN SHEET30%
BRT CLEAN SHEET25%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
BRO
BRT
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
BRO
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 2–3 to Wigan last outSCORING
3
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
1
points · W0 D1 L4BRT
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 2–6 last outSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 3LAST 5
5
points · W1 D2 L2VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.36SCORED · PER 90
BRO
1.18
LEAGUE1.36
BRT
1.20
Attacks level on season average
CONCEDED · PER 90
BRO
2.13
LEAGUE1.36
BRT
1.65
BRT concedes 0.48 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
BRO
24th
In the relegation zone on 9 points.
BRT
15th
Mid-table on 17 points.
BRT sit 9 places higher in the table