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Reading vs Bromley
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 03:10 UTC · 13 NovREA 71%Draw 17%BRO 12%
Expected goals · REA 2.6 · BRO 1.0 · 3.6 total
REA's attack (1.24x the league average) against BRO's defence (1.39x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 1.6.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for REA's win chance, the blue ones for BRO's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| REA goals | BRO 0 | BRO 1 | BRO 2 | BRO 3 | BRO 4 | BRO 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REA 0 | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| REA 1 | 6% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| REA 2 | 9% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| REA 3 | 8% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| REA 4 | 5% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| REA 5 | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
REA 70.7% · Draw 17.0% · BRO 12.3%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (4.9%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
Second model
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Reading should control this — 71% win probability and 1.7 goals per game say the edge is clear.
THE ANGLE
Bromley concede 2.1 per game on the model's weighted record, and Reading's most likely scoreline is 2-1 at 9%.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
REA
4-2-3-1BRO
4-1-4-1Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.588%
OVER 2.571%
OVER 3.549%
BTTS60%
REA CLEAN SHEET36%
BRO CLEAN SHEET7%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
REA
BRO
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
REA
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 1–3 to Stockport County last outSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 2LAST 5
7
points · W2 D1 L2BRO
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 2–3 to Wigan last outSCORING
3
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
1
points · W0 D1 L4VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.36SCORED · PER 90
REA
1.68
LEAGUE1.36
BRO
1.18
REA scores +0.50 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
REA
1.21
LEAGUE1.36
BRO
2.13
REA concedes 0.92 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
REA
7th
Mid-table on 22 points.
BRO
24th
In the relegation zone on 9 points.
REA sit 17 places higher in the table