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Plymouth Argyle vs Peterborough United
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 07:33 UTC · 13 NovPLY 52%Draw 26%PET 22%
Expected goals · PLY 1.6 · PET 1.0 · 2.6 total
PLY's attack (0.94x, below the league average) against PET's defence (1.15x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.6.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for PLY's win chance, the blue ones for PET's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| PLY goals | PET 0 | PET 1 | PET 2 | PET 3 | PET 4 | PET 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PLY 0 | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| PLY 1 | 11% | 12% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| PLY 2 | 10% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| PLY 3 | 5% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| PLY 4 | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| PLY 5 | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
PLY 52.3% · Draw 25.9% · PET 21.8%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.7%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
Second model
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Plymouth Argyle edge this at 52% — expected goals of 1.6 to 1.0 give them the lean.
THE ANGLE
Plymouth Argyle's home advantage is the separator — they score 1.4/game there, Peterborough United concede 1.6/game on the road.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
PLY
4-4-2PET
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Plymouth Argyle
No absences reported.
Peterborough United
Unknown · Expected back 30 Nov
Unknown · Expected back 30 Nov
Unknown · Expected back 30 Nov
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.575%
OVER 2.549%
OVER 3.527%
BTTS51%
PLY CLEAN SHEET37%
PET CLEAN SHEET19%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
PLY
PET
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
PLY
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 0–3 to Sheffield Wednesday last outGOAL DROUGHT
2
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last matchLAST 5
4
points · W1 D1 L3PET
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 0–2 to Luton last outGOAL DROUGHT
1
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
5
points · W1 D2 L2VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.36SCORED · PER 90
PLY
1.42
LEAGUE1.36
PET
1.09
PLY scores +0.33 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
PLY
1.40
LEAGUE1.36
PET
1.60
PLY concedes 0.20 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
PLY
6th
In the promotion play-off places on 23 points.
PET
22nd
In the relegation zone on 10 points.
PLY sit 16 places higher in the table
