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Oxford United vs Wycombe Wanderers
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 04:44 UTC · 13 NovOXF 51%Draw 26%WYC 23%
Expected goals · OXF 1.6 · WYC 1.0 · 2.6 total
OXF's attack (1.06x the league average) against WYC's defence (1.00x, about the league average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.6.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for OXF's win chance, the blue ones for WYC's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| OXF goals | WYC 0 | WYC 1 | WYC 2 | WYC 3 | WYC 4 | WYC 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OXF 0 | 8% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| OXF 1 | 11% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| OXF 2 | 9% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| OXF 3 | 5% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| OXF 4 | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| OXF 5 | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
OXF 50.7% · Draw 26.3% · WYC 23.0%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.7%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
Second model
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Oxford United have the edge at 51% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Oxford United are favoured but the draw at 26% is too high to ignore — this doesn't feel like a walkover.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
OXF
4-2-3-1WYC
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Oxford United
No absences reported.
Wycombe Wanderers
No absences reported.
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.574%
OVER 2.549%
OVER 3.527%
BTTS52%
OXF CLEAN SHEET36%
WYC CLEAN SHEET20%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
OXF
WYC
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
OXF
UNBEATEN
5
games without defeatSCORING
3
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
11
points · W3 D2 L0WYC
UNBEATEN
4
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
8
points · W2 D2 L1VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.36SCORED · PER 90
OXF
1.61
LEAGUE1.36
WYC
1.58
Attacks level on season average
CONCEDED · PER 90
OXF
0.92
LEAGUE1.36
WYC
1.56
OXF concedes 0.64 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
OXF
3rd
In the promotion play-off places on 26 points.
WYC
13th
Mid-table on 18 points.
OXF sit 10 places higher in the table
