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Expected goals · HUD 1.6 · LEI 1.2 · 2.8 total
HUD's attack (1.19x the league average) against LEI's defence (0.91x, tighter than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.4.
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for HUD's win chance, the blue ones for LEI's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| HUD goals | LEI 0 | LEI 1 | LEI 2 | LEI 3 | LEI 4 | LEI 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HUD 0 | 6% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| HUD 1 | 8% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| HUD 2 | 8% | 9% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| HUD 3 | 4% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| HUD 4 | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| HUD 5 | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
HUD 46.1% · Draw 25.6% · LEI 28.2%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.9%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Huddersfield Town have the edge at 46% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
Single-goal margins account for 38% of outcomes — 1-1 at 12% is the model's best guess.
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
HUD
3-4-2-1LEI
3-4-2-1Luke Thomas · Warren O'Hora · Harry Souttar
Jayden Joseph · Sammy Braybrooke · Louis Page · John Lundstram · William Alves · Harry Howell
Bench · 12
Doyle, Okoli, Cordova-Reid, Cullen, Kangasniemi, Ravizzoli +6
Predicted line-up
No absences reported.
No absences reported.
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
how each side performs at their ground
Attacks level on season average
HUD concedes 0.29 fewer per 90
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
HUD sit 10 places higher in the table
Photo: @cfcunofficial (Chelsea Debs) London from London, UK, CC BY-SA 2.0