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Cambridge United vs Stockport County
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 23:31 UTC · 12 NovCAM 27%Draw 26%STO 46%
Expected goals · CAM 1.2 · STO 1.6 · 2.8 total
STO's attack (1.18x the league average) against CAM's defence (1.12x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.4.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for CAM's win chance, the blue ones for STO's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| CAM goals | STO 0 | STO 1 | STO 2 | STO 3 | STO 4 | STO 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAM 0 | 7% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| CAM 1 | 7% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| CAM 2 | 4% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| CAM 3 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| CAM 4 | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| CAM 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
CAM 27.5% · Draw 26.5% · STO 46.1%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.7%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
Second model
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Stockport County have the edge at 46% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Stockport County's away advantage is the separator — they score 1.8/game there, Cambridge United concede 1.4/game on the road.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
CAM
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Cambridge United
No absences reported.
Stockport County
No absences reported.
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.576%
OVER 2.551%
OVER 3.529%
BTTS55%
CAM CLEAN SHEET21%
STO CLEAN SHEET31%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
CAM
STO
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
CAM
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 0–3 to Leyton Orient last outGOAL DROUGHT
1
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
5
points · W1 D2 L2STO
UNBEATEN
2
games without defeatSCORING
2
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 4LAST 5
10
points · W3 D1 L1VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.36SCORED · PER 90
CAM
1.41
LEAGUE1.36
STO
1.78
STO scores +0.37 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
CAM
1.44
LEAGUE1.36
STO
1.03
STO concedes 0.41 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
CAM
10th
Mid-table on 21 points.
STO
2nd
In the automatic promotion places on 29 points.
STO sit 8 places higher in the table
