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Bradford City vs Doncaster Rovers
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 05:25 UTC · 12 NovBRD 54%Draw 26%DON 20%
Expected goals · BRD 1.6 · DON 0.9 · 2.5 total
BRD's attack (0.88x, below the league average) against DON's defence (1.20x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.7.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for BRD's win chance, the blue ones for DON's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| BRD goals | DON 0 | DON 1 | DON 2 | DON 3 | DON 4 | DON 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BRD 0 | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| BRD 1 | 13% | 12% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| BRD 2 | 11% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| BRD 3 | 6% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| BRD 4 | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| BRD 5 | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
BRD 54.0% · Draw 26.5% · DON 19.6%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.6%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
Second model
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Bradford City have the edge at 54% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
BTTS at 47% suggests both attacks will find the net — 1-0 at 13% sits at the top of the scoreline distribution.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
BRD
3-4-2-1DON
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Bradford City
Hamstring Injury · Could return, due 20 Nov
Doncaster Rovers
No absences reported.
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.571%
OVER 2.545%
OVER 3.523%
BTTS47%
BRD CLEAN SHEET42%
DON CLEAN SHEET20%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
BRD
DON
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
BRD
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 0–3 to Huddersfield last outGOAL DROUGHT
3
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last matchLAST 5
6
points · W1 D3 L1DON
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 1–6 last outSCORING
3
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 2LAST 5
3
points · W1 D0 L4VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.36SCORED · PER 90
BRD
1.02
LEAGUE1.36
DON
1.23
DON scores +0.21 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
BRD
0.79
LEAGUE1.36
DON
1.57
BRD concedes 0.78 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
BRD
8th
Mid-table on 22 points.
DON
21st
In the relegation zone on 12 points.
BRD sit 13 places higher in the table
