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Blackpool vs Wigan Athletic
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 17:07 UTC · 10 NovBLP 56%Draw 24%WGA 20%
Expected goals · BLP 1.9 · WGA 1.0 · 2.9 total
BLP's attack (1.12x the league average) against WGA's defence (1.07x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.9.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for BLP's win chance, the blue ones for WGA's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| BLP goals | WGA 0 | WGA 1 | WGA 2 | WGA 3 | WGA 4 | WGA 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BLP 0 | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| BLP 1 | 10% | 11% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| BLP 2 | 10% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| BLP 3 | 6% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| BLP 4 | 3% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| BLP 5 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
BLP 56.1% · Draw 23.8% · WGA 20.0%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (1.2%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
Second model
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Blackpool are strong favourites at 56% — expected goals of 1.8 vs 1.0 reflect the gap.
THE ANGLE
Home/away split tells the story: Blackpool scoring 1.4/game at home, Wigan Athletic scoring 0.9/game on the road.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
BLP
4-1-3-2Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Blackpool
No absences reported.
Wigan Athletic
No absences reported.
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.579%
OVER 2.555%
OVER 3.533%
BTTS55%
BLP CLEAN SHEET36%
WGA CLEAN SHEET16%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
BLP
WGA
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
BLP
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 0–1 to AFC Wimbledon last outGOAL DROUGHT
1
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 3LAST 5
4
points · W1 D1 L3WGA
UNBEATEN
3
games without defeatSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last matchLAST 5
7
points · W2 D1 L2VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.36SCORED · PER 90
BLP
1.40
LEAGUE1.36
WGA
0.89
BLP scores +0.51 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
BLP
1.43
LEAGUE1.36
WGA
1.39
Defences level on season average
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
BLP
20th
Hovering above relegation on 12 points.
WGA
19th
Hovering above relegation on 14 points.
WGA sit 1 place higher in the table