Photo: Alan Slater, CC BY-SA 2.0
Turning point · 86'Will Collar2–1Forecast Verdict
Top pick missedWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v1.15
Burton Albion won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 30%. Burton Albion had more shots (18–12) and more on target (7–2).
Pre-match call frozen 24 Oct 2026 · model dc-v1.15
Tactical shift
Mark O’Mahony
Booked
32'
Alex Gilbert
33'
0–1
Kgagelo Chauke
56'
1–1
Gbemi Kingslyn Arubi
On for Mark O’Mahony
58'
Phillip Chinedu
On for James Morris
63'
Aaron Connolly
On for Dane Scarlett
64'
Armando Dobra
On for Isaac Hayden
73'
Emeka Adeile
On for Harvey Araujo
77'
Oliver O'Neill
On for Jaze Kabia
80'
Will Collar
86'
2–1
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Transition Warfare
The match swung on turnovers. Moments of transition were the only moments that mattered.
30 shots
Expected goals over time
1.04 – 0.68
accuracy · 39%
kill rate · 11%
accuracy · 17%
kill rate · 8%
Burton Albion turned 11% of shots into goals to Leyton Orient's 8%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG
Head to Head
League Standing
League OneKey context
Venue
Pirelli Stadium
Kick-off
24 Oct · 14:00 UTC
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
