Photo: Arne Müseler, CC BY-SA 3.0Forecast Verdict
Top pick missedWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v1.15
Notts County won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 25%. Notts County had more shots (19–6) and more on target (4–0).
Pre-match call frozen 20 Oct 2026 · model dc-v1.15
Tactical shift
Gabriel Otegbayo
On for Di'Shon Bernard
14'
Callum Slattery
Booked
15'
Luka Smyth
Booked
34'
Daniel Kanu
Penalty
38'
1–0
Ali Al-Hamadi
On for Callum Slattery
45'
Conor Grant
Booked
45'+2'
Jamal Lowe
Sent off
50'
Billy Mitchell
On for Barry Bannan
56'
Lee Ndlovu
On for Luka Smyth
63'
Darius Lipsiuc
On for Conor Grant
71'
Kieran Morrison
On for Gabriel Otegbayo
78'
Jack Evans
On for Daniel Kanu
80'
Darius Lipsiuc
81'
2–0
Jaden Heskey
Booked
89'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Transition Warfare
The match swung on turnovers. Moments of transition were the only moments that mattered.
25 shots
Expected goals over time
2.37 – 0.28
accuracy · 21%
kill rate · 11%
accuracy · 0%
kill rate · 0%
Notts County turned 11% of shots into goals to Sheffield Wednesday's 0%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG
