Nathan Moriah-Welsh
Booked
14'
Photo: Steve Daniels, CC BY-SA 2.0Forecast Verdict
Top pick missedWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v1.15
It finished level; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 25%. Mansfield Town had more shots (24–7) and more on target (4–2).
Pre-match call frozen 15 Oct 2026 · model dc-v1.15
Tactical shift
Nathan Moriah-Welsh
Booked
14'
Peter Kioso
Booked
22'
Luka Lynch
34'
0–1
Stephen McLaughlin
On for George Abbott
45'
Jonathan Russell
Booked
54'
Mo Missanga
On for Luka Lynch
59'
Tyler Roberts
On for Nathan Moriah-Welsh
61'
Gatlin O'Donkor
Booked
72'
Frazer Blake-Tracy
On for Ryan Sweeney
73'
Peter Kioso
Sent off
75'
Jack Currie
On for Mark Harris
77'
George Maris
On for Elliott Hewitt
79'
Sam Long
On for Siriki Dembele
80'
Michael Smith
82'
1–1
Gatlin O'Donkor
Sent off
84'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Transition Warfare
The match swung on turnovers. Moments of transition were the only moments that mattered.
30 shots
Expected goals over time
3.57 – 0.81
accuracy · 17%
kill rate · 4%
accuracy · 29%
kill rate · 14%
Oxford United turned 14% of shots into goals to Mansfield Town's 4%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG
Head to Head
League Standing
League OneKey context
Venue
One Call Stadium
Kick-off
15 Oct · 19:00 UTC
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.