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Expected goals · BRO 1.2 · WYC 1.8 · 3.0 total
WYC's attack (1.09x the league average) against BRO's defence (1.37x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.6.
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for BRO's win chance, the blue ones for WYC's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| BRO goals | WYC 0 | WYC 1 | WYC 2 | WYC 3 | WYC 4 | WYC 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BRO 0 | 6% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| BRO 1 | 5% | 12% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| BRO 2 | 4% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| BRO 3 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| BRO 4 | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| BRO 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
BRO 24.0% · Draw 24.6% · WYC 51.5%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (1.1%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Wycombe Wanderers have the edge at 51% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
Wycombe Wanderers's away advantage is the separator — they score 1.6/game there, Bromley concede 2.1/game on the road.
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
BRO
4-1-4-1WYC
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
how each side performs at their ground
WYC scores +0.40 more per 90
WYC concedes 0.57 fewer per 90
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
WYC sit 11 places higher in the table