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Blackpool vs Leicester City
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 22:52 UTC · 10 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
BLP 35%Draw 24%LEI 41%
Expected goals · BLP 1.6 · LEI 1.7 · 3.3 total
Expected goals are close (1.6 vs 1.7) — the model reads this as an evenly matched attack-defence balance.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for BLP's win chance, the blue ones for LEI's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| BLP goals | LEI 0 | LEI 1 | LEI 2 | LEI 3 | LEI 4 | LEI 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BLP 0 | 4% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| BLP 1 | 5% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| BLP 2 | 5% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| BLP 3 | 2% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| BLP 4 | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| BLP 5 | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
BLP 34.8% · Draw 24.2% · LEI 41.0%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (1.4%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Leicester City have the edge at 41% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Leicester City's away advantage is the separator — they score 1.6/game there, Blackpool concede 1.4/game on the road.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
BLP
4-1-3-2LEI
3-4-2-1Luke Thomas · Warren O'Hora · Harry Souttar
Jayden Joseph · Sammy Braybrooke · Louis Page · John Lundstram · William Alves · Harry Howell
Bench · 12
Doyle, Okoli, Cordova-Reid, Cullen, Kangasniemi, Ravizzoli +6
Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Blackpool
No absences reported.
Leicester City
No absences reported.
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.585%
OVER 2.564%
OVER 3.542%
BTTS66%
BLP CLEAN SHEET18%
LEI CLEAN SHEET21%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
BLP
LEI
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
BLP
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 0–1 to AFC Wimbledon last outGOAL DROUGHT
1
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 3LAST 5
4
points · W1 D1 L3LEI
UNBEATEN
2
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last matchLAST 5
10
points · W3 D1 L1VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.36SCORED · PER 90
BLP
1.40
LEAGUE1.36
LEI
1.65
LEI scores +0.25 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
BLP
1.43
LEAGUE1.36
LEI
1.37
LEI concedes 0.06 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
BLP
20th
Hovering above relegation on 12 points.
LEI
11th
Mid-table on 19 points.
LEI sit 9 places higher in the table