Richard Ledezma
Booked
18'
| Minute | Side | Scorer | Score after |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69' | away | Ricardo Marín | 0-1 |
| 87' | home | Paul Saracho | 1-1 |
Win probability from OneTouch's in-running model (CC-LIVE-1.2+prior): score and clock only, from our pre-match call. Not xG.
Forecast Verdict
Top pick missedWe said
Model at kick-off: LEO 32% · Draw 25% · GDL 43%
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v2.0
It finished level; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 27%. Guadalajara had more shots (18–8) and more on target (6–5).
Pre-match call frozen 9 Nov 2026 · model dc-v2.0
Tactical shift
Richard Ledezma
Booked
18'
Juan Guevara
Booked
23'
Diber Cambindo
Booked
51'
José Rodríguez
Sent off
53'
Jesús Lara
On for Fernando Beltrán
58'
Ricardo Marín
On for Richard Ledezma
60'
Paul Saracho
On for Diber Cambindo
67'
Ricardo Marín
Assist · Daniel Aguirre
69'
0–1
Edgar Guerra
On for Iván Moreno
75'
Jordan Carillo
On for Efrain Álvarez
76'
José Castillo
On for Daniel Aguirre
84'
Paul Saracho
87'
1–1
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
27 shots
Expected goals over time
accuracy · 63%
kill rate · 13%
accuracy · 33%
kill rate · 6%
León turned 13% of shots into goals to Guadalajara's 6%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG
Head to Head
League Standing
Mexican Liga BBVA MXKey context
Venue
Estadio León
Kick-off
9 Nov · 02:10 UTC
Referee
Guillermo Pacheco Larios
Mexico · 3.9 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.